93rd Annual Oscars Predictions

93rd Annual Oscars Predictions

Carson Zorn, Writer

The 93rd Annual Academy Awards premieres tonight, albeit about two months late due to Covid. Even though it’s late, thankfully we are still able to have the awards show, so I can do the thing I’m best at: predictions. That being said, this may be the most unpredictable Oscars ceremony in years. Either way, I’m still going to try to be as accurate as possible, so here are my 93rd Annual Oscars Predictions. (Note: I make two “predictions” for each category. The picture or performer I think will win is my official prediction (“Will Win”) and the picture or performer I want to win is just my personal opinion (“Should Win”).

 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:

“Emma”

“Hillbilly Elegy”

“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”

“Mank”

“Pinnochio”

“Ma Rainey” just feels like it’s the obvious winner in this category. The makeup and hairstyling, especially on Viola Davis, is very flashy, but also very well done. While I think there’s a chance “Pinnochio” and maybe even “Elegy” could pull off the upset, I feel confident picking “Ma Rainey,” and it deserves the win.

Will Win: “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”

Should Win: “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”

 

Best Film Editing:

“The Father”

“Nomadland”

“Promising Young Woman”

“Sound of Metal”

“Trial of the Chicago 7”

“Sound of Metal” seems like it is going to be the technical awards darling at the Oscars, and rightfully so. The film is very well put together, and it’s hard not to notice the spectacular editing when you watch it. The other potential winner is “Trial of the Chicago 7,” which also has some amazing editing. It’s a neck and neck race, but I think I’m going to give the edge to “Metal.”

Will Win: “Sound of Metal”

Should Win: “Sound of Metal”/”Trial of the Chicago 7”

 

Best Visual Effects:

“Love and Monsters”

“The Midnight Sky”

“Mulan”

“The One and Only Ivan”
“Tenet”

When I saw “Tenet,” I really liked it, and I’m honestly surprised it’s not more of an awards season juggernaut, but if there’s one award it definitely deserves, it’s best visual effects, and I think it’ll get it. The practical effects Christopher Nolan uses in his films are always incredible, and “Tenet” is no exception. I expect it to easily win this award.

Will Win: “Tenet”

Should Win: “Tenet”

 

Best Original Score:

“Da 5 Bloods”

“Mank”

“Minari”

“News of the World”
“Soul”

I’d be willing to bet my life savings on “Soul” winning this award, and it totally deserves it. No other score for a movie has added so much value to the film as “Soul” did this year. The score is absolutely incredible, and it totally deserves this award.

Will Win: “Soul”

Should Win: “Soul

 

Best Original Song:

“Fight For You” from “Judas and the Black Messiah”

“Hear My Voice” from “The Trial of the Chicago 7”

“Husavik” from “Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga”

“Io Sì (Seen)” from “The Life Ahead”

“Speak Now” from “One Night in Miami”

I think Odom Jr. has the best chance to take this award for “Speak Now.” It’s such a fantastic song, and is the only song out of all these nominees that I consistently listen to. That being said, as a lot of other awards shows have shown, this category is a coin flip, so it could be any of these songs.

Will Win: “Speak Now”

Should Win: “Speak Now”

 

Best Live Action Short Film:

“Feeling Through”
“The Letter Room”

“The Present”

“Two Distant Strangers”

“White Eye”

I’ll be honest, I haven’t seen any of these short films. Hopefully I’ll get the chance to see them at some point. However, my research (which is just me googling “who will win”) has led me to the conclusion that “Two Distant Strangers” will win, so, I’ll go with that.

Will Win: “Two Distant Strangers”
Should Win: “Two Distant Strangers”

 

Best Animated Short Film:

“Burrow”

“Genius Loci”

“If Anything Happens I Love You”

“Opera”

“Yes-People”

The frontrunner here seems to be “If Anything Happens,” and rightfully so. It is a beautifully told story with such a heartbreaking theme at such an important time for that message. It impacted me and brought me to tears in only 12 minutes, so it absolutely deserves the award, and I think it gets it.

Will Win: “If Anything Happens I Love You”
Should Win: “If Anything Happens I Love You”

 

Best Sound:

“Greyhound”

“Mank”

“News of the World”

“Soul”

“Sound of Metal”

I mean, come on, the film literally has the word “Sound” in the title. As I said earlier, “Sound of Metal” will likely take home quite a bit of the technical awards, and that includes the sound award, and it totally deserves to.

Will Win: “Sound of Metal”

Should Win: “Sound of Metal”

 

Best Costume Design:

“Emma”

“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”

“Mank”

“Mulan”

“Pinnochio”

This is another category that seems almost too perfect for “Ma Rainey” to not win. While I think both “Emma” and “Mank” have a shot, the costumes in “Ma Rainey” are just as fantastic as the makeup, so I think it pulls off a win in this category as well.

 

Best Cinematography:

Sean Bobbitt, “Judas and the Black Messiah”

Erik Messerschmidt, “Mank”

Dariusz Wolski, “News of the World”

Joshua James Richards, “Nomadland”

Phedon Papamichael , “The Trial of the Chicago 7”

While I don’t love “Nomadland” as much as the Oscar voters probably do, the one aspect of the movie that I really enjoyed was the Cinematography. The shots in this film are beautiful and really capture the beauty of nature in such a perfect way. One potential upset would be “Mank,” but I like “Nomadland’s” chances.

Will Win: Joshua James Richards, “Nomadland”

Should Win: Joshua James Richards, “Nomadland”

 

Best Production Design:

“The Father”

“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”

“Mank”

“News of the World”

“Tenet”

As it shows every year, Hollywood loves movies about Hollywood, and that is why “Mank” will win production design. The way the film recreated old Hollywood, and film sets from old Hollywood will definitely land it a win here, although I prefer the production design of “Tenet”

Will Win: “Mank”

Should Win: “Tenet”

 

Best Documentary (Short):

“Colette”

“A Concerto is a Conversation”

“Do Not Split”

“Hunger Ward”

“A Love Song for Latasha”

Once again, I have seen none of these, so I just had to Google the awards favorite. For this award, “Concerto” seems to be the frontrunner, so I’ll go with that.

Will Win: “A Concerto is a Conversation”

Should Win: “A Concerto is a Conversation”

 

Best Documentary:

“Collective”

“Crip Cramp”

“The Mole Agent”

“My Octopus Teacher”

“Time”

My research has shown that the favorite for this category is “Octopus Teacher,” so I’ll pick it to win, and because of the amazing title, I’ll also make it my should win.

Will Win: “My Octopus Teacher”

Should Win: “My Octopus Teacher”

 

Best International Feature Film:

“Another Round”-Denmark

“Better Days”-Hong Kong

“Collective”-Romania

“The Man Who Sold His Skin”-Tunisia

“Qu Vadis, Aida?”-Bosnia and Herzegovina

The only one of these films that I have seen is “Another Round,” and it was fantastic, and given the fact that it was also nominated for Best Director, I think that makes it almost a lock to win this category.

Will Win: “Another Round”-Denmark

Should Win: “Another Round”-Denmark

 

Best Animated Feature Film:

“Onward”

“Over the Moon”

“A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon”

“Soul”

“Wolfwalkers”

There’s no question here, “Soul” is 100% winning this category, and it absolutely deserves to. It was my second favorite film of 2020, and it totally deserves all the recognition it is getting, because it was a masterpiece.

Will Win: “Soul”

Should Win: “Soul”

 

Best Adapted Screenplay:

“Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”

“The Father”

“Nomadland”

“One Night in Miami”

“The White Tiger”

With “Nomadland” expected to win a lot of the big awards, I think there’s a chance that awards voters decided to share the wealth, and will give this award to “The Father.” I really don’t have a personal favorite in this category, but I will say, I’d like to see “One Night in Miami” take home a major award, but I think it will be “The Father,” but “Nomadland” is a strong possibility.

Will Win: “The Father”

Should Win: “One Night in Miami”/ “The Father”

 

Best Original Screenplay:

“Judas and the Black Messiah”

“Minari”

“Promising Young Woman”

“Sound of Metal”

“The Trial of the Chicago 7”

While a small part of me hopes and thinks that “Judas” can pull off the win here, I’d be stupid to not pick “Chicago 7,” which is an equally deserving winner. Aaron Sorkin is the best Screenwriter working today, and he didn’t miss a step with the script for “Trial.” It is a fantastic script and deserves the win it is probably going to get. If there is a potential upset, “Promising Young Woman” has a shot. 

Will Win: “The Trial of the Chicago 7”

Should Win: “The Trial of the Chicago 7”/ “Judas and the Black Messiah”

 

Best Supporting Actress:

Maria Bakalova, “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”

Glenn Close, “Hillbilly Elegy”

Olivia Colman, “The Father”

Amanda Seyfried, “Mank”

Yuh-jung Youn, “Minari”

This category used to be very hard to predict, but recent awards shows have made it very clear that the winner will be Yuh-jung Youn. While I have no problem with Youn winning, I was more of a Bakalova and Seyfried fan. Maria Bakalova burst onto the scene in “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” and was the comedic equal of Sacha Baron Cohen, which is not an easy task to pull off. As for Seyfried, I think she is a great actress that doesn’t get the recognition she deserves, and her performance was one of the few parts of “Mank” that I actually enjoyed. But this is truly Youn’s category to lose.

Will Win: Yuh-jung Youn, “Minari”

Should Win: Maria Bakalova, “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”?Amanda Seyfried, “Mank”

 

Best Actor in a Supporting Role:

Sacha Baron Cohen, “The Trial of the Chicago 7”

Daniel Kaluuya, “Judas and the Black Messiah”

Leslie Odom Jr., “One Night in Miami”

Paul Raci, “The Sound of Metal”

Lakeith Stanfield, “Judas and the Black Messiah”

This category is one of the easiest to predict of the entire show. Daniel Kaluuya is 100% winning this award, and he deserves to. His performance as Fred Hampton in “Judas” was incredible and while his co-star (Stanfield) was incredible as well, Kaluuya is definitely winning this one.

Will Win: Daniel Kaluuya, “Judas and the Black Messiah”

Should Win: Either of the “Judas and the Black Messiah” Actors

 

Best Actor in a Leading Role:
Riz Ahmed, “Sound of Metal”

Chadwick Boseman, “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”

Anthony Hopkins, “The Father”

Gary Oldman, “Mank”

Steven Yeun, “Minari”

Chadwick Boseman is going to win this award. His performance in “Ma Rainey” was phenomenal, and unfortunately because of his untimely death, this is the last chance awards voters will ever have to honor him. Chadwick had such an amazing career ahead of him, and it’s a true shame that we will never get to see what he was going to do next. I am very happy that Boseman will win this award.

Will Win: Chadwick Boseman, “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”

Should Win: Chadwick Boseman, “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”

 

Best Actress in a Leading Role:

Viola Davis, “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”

Andra Day, “The United States vs. Billie Holiday”

Vanessa Kirby, “Pieces of a Woman”

Frances McDormand, “Nomadland”

Carey Mulligan, “Promising Young Woman”

This is the most confusing category of the whole night. Any one of the amazing women in this category could take home this award. I think it’s a toss up between Davis and Mulligan, and I lean towards Mulligan as both by “will win” and “should win”.” Mulligan’s performance is my favorite out of this group, and because “Promising Young Woman” won’t be getting too much love in other categories, I think it has a chance to win here, but really, this category could go any way.

Will Win: Carey Mulligan, “Promising Young Woman”

Should Win: Carey Mulligan, “Promising Young Woman”

 

Best Picture:

“The Father”

“Judas and the Black Messiah”

“Mank”

“Minari”

“Nomadland”

“Promising Young Woman”

“Sound of Metal”

“The Trial of the Chicago 7”

This one seems to have a clear cut winner, “Nomadland.” It is not my personal favorite, and I would prefer almost any other movie to win over this one (except for Mank), but the Oscars don’t care too much about what I want. “Nomadland” has been taking the Best Picture award at almost any awards show that has that category, and I don’t expect it to stop here.

Will Win: “Nomadland”

Should Win: (My top 3) “The Trial of the Chicago 7”/ “Judas and the Black Messiah”/ “Promising Young Woman”